The India Meteorological Department has forecast isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall, ranging between 7 and 20 centimetres, across Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, the northeastern region, and sub-Himalayan West Bengal over the next seven days. The weather agency has also warned of isolated extremely heavy rainfall in Karnataka and Kerala on June 8 and June 9.
In addition, a western disturbance is expected to influence weather conditions across parts of the country. The system is likely to trigger light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms, gusty winds reaching speeds of 50 to 60 kilometres per hour, and hailstorms on June 11.
According to Mahesh Palawat, Vice President for Climate and Meteorology at private weather forecasting agency Skymet Weather, the monsoon is currently progressing at a healthy pace. He stated that the monsoon is expected to cover the entire northwest region of India, sub-Himalayan West Bengal, parts of central India, Jharkhand, and eastern Bihar within the next two to three days. He further indicated that the monsoon could reach southern Gujarat by June 16 or June 17, while pre-monsoon activity is expected to intensify across western and northwestern India.
The northern limit of the monsoon currently passes through Harnai, Solapur, Kalaburagi, Nandyal, Chennai, Kailashahar, Lamding, and North Lakhimpur, reflecting its steady advance across the country.
Meanwhile, maximum temperatures remained above normal by 2 degrees Celsius to 4 degrees Celsius at several locations in Maharashtra, Telangana, and the northeastern states. Similar above-normal temperatures were also recorded at isolated places in Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi.
The latest monsoon progression and rainfall forecasts are significant for agriculture, water resources, and seasonal weather patterns across India, as authorities closely monitor the advance of the rain-bearing system and its impact on different regions in the coming days.
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